replace point pred with bootstrap mean #102
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jjcherian
approved these changes
Sep 9, 2024
lennybronner
deleted the
elex-4465-replace-point-prediction-with-bootstrap-mean
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Description
We are replacing the unit level point prediction with the bootstrap sample mean.
This makes sure that the point prediction is always centered around the average of
error_B_1, which forces our interval to be theerror_B_2's (fake test error) deviation from that. This would make issues around weirdly shaped intervals easier to debug on election night.Jira Ticket
https://arcpublishing.atlassian.net/browse/ELEX-4464
Test Steps