From 307e1276c3e0700d85a11cf2e8f95006c5308ca5 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: ABR26 <81186259+ABR26@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Tue, 27 May 2025 19:02:50 +0100 Subject: [PATCH] Create SimulatingAssetDecay MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=UTF-8 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 8bit Simulation of Asset Decay and Rebalancing Logic This repository contains a basic Python simulation that models portfolio value over time with randomized volatility effects and scheduled rebalancing. It is not intended to predict markets, but to stress-test allocation logic under stochastic pressure. 💡 Key Features Simulates a 65/35 split between equities and capital preservation assets Introduces volatility through a randomized multiplier (1–2x) applied to equity returns Applies monthly rebalancing logic to simulate passive allocation decay and recovery Tracks value over 10 periods, repeated for 30 independent runs Identifies outcomes where total value collapses below a defined threshold 📈 Use Cases Testing rebalancing assumptions Exploring portfolio fragility under volatility Visualizing the downside effects of poor variance structures --- SimulatingAssetDecay | 25 +++++++++++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 25 insertions(+) create mode 100644 SimulatingAssetDecay diff --git a/SimulatingAssetDecay b/SimulatingAssetDecay new file mode 100644 index 0000000..74a312d --- /dev/null +++ b/SimulatingAssetDecay @@ -0,0 +1,25 @@ +import random +Result = [] +Destiny = [] +for i in range(30): + Eq = 65 + Ca = 35 + p = 0 + for i in range(10): + Eq = Eq*(float(1.05))*((random.randint(1,200)/100)) + Ca = Ca*float(0.95) + Value= Eq+Ca + #print("Value",Value) + Eq = Value*float(0.65) + Ca = Value*float(0.35) + if i==4: + #print(Value) + Result.insert(0,Value) + if Value<50: + #print("Low",Value) + Destiny.insert(0,Value) + print("Under 50:",len(Destiny)) +#ReturnUnitRisk = (sum(Result)/30)/((max(Result)-min(Result))) +#print("X Bar",(sum(Result)/30)) +#print("Range",max(Result)-min(Result)) +#print('ReturnUnitRisk...X Bar / Range ',ReturnUnitRisk)